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An Analysis of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

An Analysis of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

One of the primary qualities of good creative thinking is an intellectual freedom to think outside of the box. Good creative thinkers resist orthodox ideas take new lines of enquiry and generally come at problems from the kinds of angles almost no one else could. And what is more when the ideas of creative thinkers are convincing they can reshape an entire topic and change the orthodoxy for good. Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s 2007 bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is precisely such a book: an entertaining polemical creative attack on how people in general and economic experts in particular view the possibility of catastrophic events. Taleb writes with rare creative verve for someone who is also an expert in mathematics finance and epistemology (the philosophy of knowledge) and he martials all his skills to turn standard reasoning inside out. His central point is that far from being unimportant extremely rare events are frequently the most important ones of all: it is highly improbable but highly consequential occurrences – what he calls Black Swans – that have shaped history most. As a result Taleb concludes improbability is not a reason to act as if a possible event does not matter. Rather it should inspire the opposite reaction. | An Analysis of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable

GBP 6.50
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Swan SK14015BN TownHouse 1.7L Jug Kettle - Black

Swan SK14015BN TownHouse 1.7L Jug Kettle - Black

#html-body [data-pb-style=D6OCH6D]{justify-content:flex-start;display:flex;flex-direction:column;background-position:left top;background-size:cover;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-attachment:scroll}Swan SK14015BN TownHouse 1.7L Jug Kettle - Black Swan SK14015BN 1.7 Litre 2200W Town House Jug Kettle Black If youre looking to add an extra touch of style to your kitchen, the Townhouse 1.7L Jug Kettle is the perfect choice. Our Townhouse range incorporates contemporary touches into elegant, streamlined designs that sit comfortably in both traditional and modern kitchens, making them a great choice whatever your preferred

GBP 37.31
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The Unfinished Swan Steam CD Key

The Unfinished Swan Steam CD Key

Enter the surreal world of The Unfinished Swan and explore a mysterious, hidden kingdom. Your journey will be led by a runaway swan who guides you through strange levels filled with bizarre creatures. Discover the land through innovative new game mechanics such as splatting paint on a white surface to uncover your surroundings. Each level will bring new twists, challenges, and puzzles until you eventually come face-to-face with the eccentric King that built this realm.FeaturesExplore a surreal, unfinished kingdom and find the King who abandoned itExperience astonishing and unique game mechanicsCreate (accidental) works of art as you splat your way across the landscapeEnjoy intuitive and simple controls that are fully Move compatible

GBP 4.00
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WRAS Approved - Tivoli Matt Black Kitchen Mixer Tap with Swivel Spout - Swan Neck (21257) Black

WRAS Approved - Tivoli Matt Black Kitchen Mixer Tap with Swivel Spout - Swan Neck (21257) Black

WRAS Approved - Tivoli Matt Black Kitchen Mixer Tap with Swivel Spout - Swan NeckSignature FeaturesMake a statement with your sink. The Matt Black Tivoli Kitchen tap is eye-catching to say the least. Make a statement, but dont skimp on quality its brass construction ensures you strength to match its streamlined design.The perfect addition to any kitchen sink, this tap is functional too. The elongated swan neck and swivel spout makes it easy for water to r

GBP 40.96
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The New McNeela Swan 30 Button Anglo Concertina in C/G

The New McNeela Swan 30 Button Anglo Concertina in C/G

Get the Swan Anglo Concertina, the best premium starter anglo concertina on the market, handcrafted at McNeela Music in Dublin, Ireland. Comes with a free premium concertina hard case, 5 months of free online lessons, and a 30-day money back guarantee. The Swan Concertina features: 30 button Anglo Concertina in the key of C/G; fully chromatic; new and improved Czech-made, Swedish-steel reeds; 6 fold black leather bellows; Jeffries-style metal end plates with matt finish; Wheatstone/Lachenal layout; touch sensitive buttons; fantastic rivet action system for a super response; and produces a strong, clear and sweet tone. Buy online now!

GBP 817.00
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Swan ST14015BN TownHouse 2 Slice Toaster - Black

Swan ST14015BN TownHouse 2 Slice Toaster - Black

#html-body [data-pb-style=YEPQXKV]{justify-content:flex-start;display:flex;flex-direction:column;background-position:left top;background-size:cover;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-attachment:scroll}Swan ST14015BN TownHouse 2 Slice Toaster - Black The Swan Townhouse 2-Slice Toaster brings together high-end functionality and elegant contemporary styling to make for the perfect addition to your kitchen setup. Swan’s Townhouse collection couples modern touches and a classic understated design to make for a subtle, versatile look that fits perfectly in any kitchen. Whether you prefer an ultra-modern style or something a little more traditional, the Townhouse 2-Slice Toaster will fit right in. And the deep red colouring complements a whole range of palettes.  The Swan 2-Slice Toaster isn’t just eye-catching – it’s also packed with features! Firstly, the variable browning control offers you maximum control, so no matter how you like your toast, from barely warmed to almost burnt, you’ll be set. Even families full of fussy eaters won’t have trouble at breakfast time! There are also dedicated defrost and reheat settings, so whether you’re getting your bread straight from the freezer or you’ve left your bagel waiting a little too long, the Swan Townhouse toaster has you covered.  The automatic pop-up and anti-jam functions will ensure that there won’t be any issues getting your freshly made toast out –

GBP 38.75
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